Difference between revisions of "Utter bilge"
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"There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home." — Ken Olsen, CEO of Digital Equipment Corporation, presumably 1980 [http://www.cringely.com/2011/02/ken-olsen-and-post-industrial-computing/] | "There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home." — Ken Olsen, CEO of Digital Equipment Corporation, presumably 1980 [http://www.cringely.com/2011/02/ken-olsen-and-post-industrial-computing/] | ||
==Links== | ==Links== | ||
* '''2011-08-27''' [http://freethoughtblogs.com/dispatches/2011/08/27/and-the-nostradamus-award-goes-to/ And the Nostradamus Award Goes To...] Clifford Stoll said a number of things in 1995, including: | |||
** "The truth in no online database will replace your daily newspaper, no CD-ROM can take the place of a competent teacher and no computer network will change the way government works." | |||
** "Try reading a book on disc. At best, its an unpleasant chore: the myopic glow of a clunky computer replaces the friendly pages of a book. And you cant tote that laptop to the beach. Yet Nicholas Negroponte, director of the MIT Media Lab, predicts that well soon buy books and newspapers straight over the Intenet. Uh, sure." | |||
** "Then theres cyberbusiness. Were promised instant catalog shoppingjust point and click for great deals. Well order airline tickets over the network, make restaurant reservations and negotiate sales contracts. Stores will become obselete. So how come my local mall does more business in an afternoon than the entire Internet handles in a month? Even if there were a trustworthy way to send money over the Internetwhich there isntthe network is missing a most essential ingredient of capitalism: salespeople." | |||
** (Stoll, at least, has admitted how incredibly wrong he was -- partly because technology moved fast enough to prove this in a mere 15 years or less.) | |||
* '''2010-09-16''' | * '''2010-09-16''' | ||
** [http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20727771.700-zeros-to-heroes-the-man-who-learned-to-fly.html Zeros to heroes: The man who learned to fly]: "During the 18th and 19th centuries, scientists and the public all believed that it was not only impossible to fly using an artificial wing, but an act of folly to suggest that you could. This did not discourage the English gentleman scientist George Cayley, even though his contemporaries - including his own son - were embarrassed by his efforts." | ** [http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20727771.700-zeros-to-heroes-the-man-who-learned-to-fly.html Zeros to heroes: The man who learned to fly]: "During the 18th and 19th centuries, scientists and the public all believed that it was not only impossible to fly using an artificial wing, but an act of folly to suggest that you could. This did not discourage the English gentleman scientist George Cayley, even though his contemporaries - including his own son - were embarrassed by his efforts." | ||
** [http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20727771.600-zeros-to-heroes-the-tragic-fate-of-a-genetic-pioneer.html Zeros to heroes: The tragic fate of a genetic pioneer]: this one's a little complicated. In 1926, Paul Kammerer makes observations which appear to support Lamarckianism. Kammerer was prominently condemned as a fraud (reason not stated), and killed himself six weeks later. In 1971 Arthur Koestler argues that Kammerer's experiments may have been tampered with for political reasons. In 2009, Alex Vargas reexamines Kammerer's work and pronounces it not fraudulent at all, but actually consistent with the then-undiscovered field of epigenetics. | ** [http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20727771.600-zeros-to-heroes-the-tragic-fate-of-a-genetic-pioneer.html Zeros to heroes: The tragic fate of a genetic pioneer]: this one's a little complicated. In 1926, Paul Kammerer makes observations which appear to support Lamarckianism. Kammerer was prominently condemned as a fraud (reason not stated), and killed himself six weeks later. In 1971 Arthur Koestler argues that Kammerer's experiments may have been tampered with for political reasons. In 2009, Alex Vargas reexamines Kammerer's work and pronounces it not fraudulent at all, but actually consistent with the then-undiscovered field of epigenetics. | ||
** [http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20727772.100-zeros-to-heroes-the-long-wait-to-speak-in-code.html Zeros to heroes: The long wait to speak in code]: inventions can be discovered long before the technology exists to implement them. Also, being a mystical kook doesn't automatically invalidate one's inventions, even if the technology doesn't yet exist to implement them. | ** [http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20727772.100-zeros-to-heroes-the-long-wait-to-speak-in-code.html Zeros to heroes: The long wait to speak in code]: inventions can be discovered long before the technology exists to implement them. Also, being a mystical kook doesn't automatically invalidate one's inventions, even if the technology doesn't yet exist to implement them. | ||
==Notes== | ==Notes== | ||
Need to track down this quote: "I would sooner believe that two Yankee professors had lied than believe that rocks can fall out of the sky." | Need to track down this quote: "I would sooner believe that two Yankee professors had lied than believe that rocks can fall out of the sky." | ||
Also, are there any choice quotations about the impossibility of continental drift? | Also, are there any choice quotations about the impossibility of continental drift? | ||